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P.D. Magnus

Inductive Risk, Science, and Values: a reply to MacGillivray

This is a short discussion piece co-authored with Dan Hicks and Jessey Wright.

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The Argument from Inductive Risk (AIR) is perhaps the most common argument against the value-free ideal of science. Brian MacGillivray (2019) rejects the AIR (at least as it would apply to risk assessment) and embraces the value-free ideal. We clarify the issues at stake and argue that MacGillivray’s criticisms, although effective against some formulations of the AIR, fail to overcome the essential concerns which motivate the AIR. There are inevitable tradeoffs in scientific enquiry which cannot be resolved with any formal methods or general rules. Choices must be made, and values will be involved. It is best to recognize this explicitly. Even so, there is more work to be done developing methods and institutional support for these choices.

	AUTHOR = {Daniel J. Hicks and P.D. Magnus and Jessey Wright},
	TITLE = {Inductive Risk, Science, and Values: A Reply to MacGillivray},
	JOURNAL = {Risk Analysis},
	VOLUME = {40},
	NUMBER = {4},
	MONTH = apr,
	PAGES = {667--673},
	DOI = {10.1111/risa.13434}

The first on-line draft of this paper was posted 15nov2019. The journal published an online version of record 23dec2019.

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