{"id":495,"date":"2018-05-16T18:11:46","date_gmt":"2018-05-16T18:11:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/?p=495"},"modified":"2018-11-09T15:54:20","modified_gmt":"2018-11-09T15:54:20","slug":"the-two-wills-to-believe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/2018\/05\/16\/the-two-wills-to-believe\/","title":{"rendered":"The two wills to believe"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Having just taught a seminar on pragmatism and reading <a href=\"https:\/\/ndpr.nd.edu\/news\/pragmatism-pluralism-and-the-nature-of-philosophy\/\">a recent book review by Alex Klein<\/a>, I realized that there&#8217;s a reading of William James&#8217; &#8220;Will to Believe&#8221; which isn&#8217;t universally recognized even though it seems obvious to me.<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->James argues that there are cases in which our passions, rather than reasons alone, may legitimately be allowed to determine what we believe. So we ought &#8220;to respect one another&#8217;s mental freedom&#8221; in such cases, and each of us should believe as we are moved by our hearts and passions to believe.<\/p>\n<p>We can distinguish two considerations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Doxastic Efficacy:<\/strong> James considers cases in which <em>believing that p<\/em> makes it more likely that <em>p<\/em> will actually turn out to be true. James suggests that friendship can be like this. He elsewhere offers the example of a mountain climber who must leap across a chasm and is more likely to succeed if he believes that he can do it. Because he&#8217;d very much prefer to make the leap and survive, it&#8217;s OK that he believes even though the absence that he&#8217;ll succeed is uncompelling.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ampliative Risk:<\/strong> James notes that there is a conflict between our duties to <em>believe truth<\/em> and <em>shun error<\/em>. Believing or suspending belief requires arriving at a balance between these duties. Yet there is no uniquely rational way to balance these duties. So finding the evidence and reasons to be <em>enough<\/em> in a particular instance always partly reflects a value judgment rather than just the evidence alone.<\/p>\n<p>Some scholars, including the authors who are the target of Alex&#8217;s review, see James&#8217; argument as really only being about Doxastic Efficacy. They don&#8217;t consider Ampliative Risk to be a separate and free-standing consideration. It seems obvious to me that they&#8217;re wrong.<\/p>\n<p>The two considerations are importantly different.<\/p>\n<p>Doxastic Efficacy is more limited in a sense, because it only applies to cases where believing <em>p<\/em> makes <em>p<\/em> more probable.<span id='easy-footnote-1-495' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/2018\/05\/16\/the-two-wills-to-believe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-495' title=' This even needs to be refined somewhat. For any &lt;em&gt;q&lt;\/em&gt;, S&amp;#8217;s believing &lt;em&gt;p&lt;\/em&gt; increases the probability that &amp;#8220;&lt;em&gt;q and S believes that p&amp;#8221;&lt;\/em&gt;\u2014 but obviously we don&amp;#8217;t want to count cases like that.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span> It is not limited on the values that are relevant, however. Anything that would make <em>p <\/em>good or\u00a0<em>not-p\u00a0<\/em>bad could serve to justify believing it. Wishful thinking is defensible when wishing might make it so.<\/p>\n<p>Ampliative Risk, on the other hand, does not allow just any values. It doesn&#8217;t matter how good <em>p<\/em> would be or how bad it would be if <em>not-p<\/em>. All that matters are the conditional values of how good it would be <em>to believe p if p were true<\/em>, how bad it would be <em>to believe p if p were false<\/em>, and so on.<span id='easy-footnote-2-495' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/2018\/05\/16\/the-two-wills-to-believe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-495' title=' These are what Heather Douglas would call values playing an indirect role.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span> Yet there is always some risk of being wrong if one believes anything contingent, so Ampliative Risk arises for every belief.<\/p>\n<p>So the question is whether these points are as obvious to most everyone else as it is to me. If so, then I&#8217;m making the small point that a few philosophers are wrong. Fine for a blog post. If not, then maybe I should write a paper.<span id='easy-footnote-3-495' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/2018\/05\/16\/the-two-wills-to-believe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-495' title=' I always have a creeping worry when writing any history of philosophy that all of my thoughts have already been published by someone else fifty or a hundred years ago.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 338px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:William_James_-_John_La_Farge.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/2\/26\/William_James_-_John_La_Farge.jpg\" width=\"338\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Portrait of William James by John La Farge, circa 1859. via Wikimedia.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Having just taught a seminar on pragmatism and reading a recent book review by Alex Klein, I realized that there&#8217;s a reading of William James&#8217; &#8220;Will to Believe&#8221; which isn&#8217;t universally recognized even though it seems obvious to me.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[9],"tags":[23,15],"class_list":["post-495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy","tag-pragmatism","tag-values-in-science"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7PjAo-7Z","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=495"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":657,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495\/revisions\/657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fecundity.com\/nfw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}